Using symbolic networks to analyse dynamical properties of disease outbreaks

DOI10.1098/RSPA.2019.0777MaRDI QIDQ5160908zbMATH OpenOpenAlexWikidataFDO

Authors José Luis Herrera-Diestra, M. Chavez, J. Martínez, Javier M. Buldú

Publication date 29 October 2021

Published in Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/1911.05646

zbMATH Keywords

entropytime seriescomplexityepidemicscomplex networksordinal patternsstatistical physics

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Time series, auto-correlation, regression, etc. in statistics (GARCH) (62M10) Applications of statistics to biology and medical sciences; meta analysis (62P10) Epidemiology (92D30) Small world graphs, complex networks (graph-theoretic aspects) (05C82)

Abstract: We introduce a new methodology to analyze the evolution of epidemic time series, which is based on the construction of epidemic networks. First, we translate the time series into ordinal patterns containing information about local fluctuations of the disease prevalence. Each pattern is associated to a node of a network, whose (directed) connections arise from consecutive appearances in the series. The analysis of the network structure and the role of each pattern, allows classifying them according to the enhancement of entropy/complexity along the series, giving a different point of view about the evolution of a given disease.

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Cited in

(3)

• Comparative analysis of the original and amplitude permutations
• The topological weighted centroid (TWC): a topological approach to the time-space structure of epidemic and pseudo-epidemic processes
• Quantifying sudden changes in dynamical systems using symbolic networks

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