Uniformly and strongly consistent estimation for the Hurst function of a linear multifractional stable motion

DOI10.3150/15-BEJ781MaRDI QIDQ520702zbMATH OpenFDO

Authors Antoine Ayache, Julien Hamonier

Publication date 5 April 2017

Published in Bernoulli (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/1407.3395, https://projecteuclid.org/euclid.bj/1486177402

zbMATH Keywords

discrete variationsheavy-tailed distributionslaws of large numbersstatistical estimation of functionstime changing Hurst parameter

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Fractional processes, including fractional Brownian motion (60G22) Nonparametric estimation (62G05) Asymptotic properties of nonparametric inference (62G20) Non-Markovian processes: estimation (62M09)

Abstract: Since the middle of the 90's, multifractional processes have been introduced for overcoming some limitations of the classical Fractional Brownian Motion model. In their context, the Hurst parameter becomes a Holder continuous function H(?) of the time variable t. Linear Multifractional Stable Motion (LMSM) is the most known one of them with heavy-tailed distributions. Generally speaking, global and local sample path roughness of a multifractional process are determined by values of its parameter $H(cdot)$; therefore, since about two decades, several authors have been interested in their statistical estimation, starting from discrete variations of the process. Because of complex dependence structures of variations, in order to show consistency of estimators one has to face challenging problems. The main goal of our article is to introduce, in the setting of the symmetric alpha-stable non-anticipative moving average LMSM, where $alphain(1;2)$, a new strategy for dealing with such kind of problems. It can also be useful in other contexts. In contrast with previously developed strategies, this new one does not require to look for sharp estimates of covariances related to functionals of variations. Roughly speaking, it consists of expressing variations in such a way that they become independent random variables up to negligible remainders. Thanks to it, we obtain, an almost surely and $L^p(Omega),pin(0;4]$, consistent estimator of the whole function $H(cdot)$, which converges, uniformly in t, and even for some Holder norms. Also, we obtain estimates for the rates of convergence. Such kind of strong consistency results in uniform and Holder norms are rather unusual in the literature on statistical estimation of functions.

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Cited in

(6)

• Regularity of multifractional moving average processes with random Hurst exponent
• Series representation of jointly S S distribution via symmetric covariations
• Hurst function estimation
• Estimation of the multifractional function and the stability index of linear multifractional stable processes
• Uniformly and strongly consistent estimation for the random Hurst function of a multifractional process
• Harmonizable fractional stable motion: asymptotically normal estimators for both parameters

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