Large deviations for i.i.d. replications of the total progeny of a Galton-Watson process

DOI10.15559/16-VMSTA72zbMATH Open1361.60021arXiv1704.02100MaRDI QIDQ522548FDOQ522548

Authors: Claudio Macci, Barbara Pacchiarotti 

Publication date: 18 April 2017

Published in: Modern Stochastics. Theory and Applications (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: The Galton--Watson process is the simplest example of a branching process. The relationship between the offspring distribution, and, when the extinction occurs almost surely, the distribution of the total progeny is well known. In this paper, we illustrate the relationship between these two distributions when we consider the large deviation rate function (provided by Cram'{e}r's theorem) for empirical means of i.i.d. random variables. We also consider the case with a random initial population. In the final part, we present large deviation results for sequences of estimators of the offspring mean based on i.i.d. replications of total progeny.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1704.02100

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zbMATH Keywords

large deviationsGalton-Watson processtotal progenyestimatorsoffspring meaninitial random populationCramér's theorem

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Point estimation (62F10) Asymptotic properties of parametric estimators (62F12) Large deviations (60F10) Population dynamics (general) (92D25) Branching processes (Galton-Watson, birth-and-death, etc.) (60J80)

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Cited In (4)

• Large and moderate deviations for the total population arising from a sub-critical Galton-Watson process with immigration
• Large deviations for sums indexed by the generations of a Galton-Watson process
• Grandes déviations pour une famille de processus de Galton-Watson dépendant de l'effectif de la population. (Large deviations for a family of size dependent Galton-Watson processes)
• Large Deviations Analysis of Extinction in Branching Models

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