Maximum likelihood estimation of the latent class model through model boundary decomposition

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Publication:5226940

DOI10.18409/JAS.V10I1.75zbMATH Open1422.62199arXiv1710.01696OpenAlexW2963093364WikidataQ128056876 ScholiaQ128056876MaRDI QIDQ5226940FDOQ5226940


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Publication date: 2 August 2019

Published in: Journal of Algebraic Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: The Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm is routinely used for the maximum likelihood estimation in the latent class analysis. However, the EM algorithm comes with no guarantees of reaching the global optimum. We study the geometry of the latent class model in order to understand the behavior of the maximum likelihood estimator. In particular, we characterize the boundary stratification of the binary latent class model with a binary hidden variable. For small models, such as for three binary observed variables, we show that this stratification allows exact computation of the maximum likelihood estimator. In this case we use simulations to study the maximum likelihood estimation attraction basins of the various strata. Our theoretical study is complemented with a careful analysis of the EM fixed point ideal which provides an alternative method of studying the boundary stratification and maximizing the likelihood function. In particular, we compute the minimal primes of this ideal in the case of a binary latent class model with a binary or ternary hidden random variable.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1710.01696




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