Variational approach to rare event simulation using least-squares regression

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Publication:5227583

DOI10.1063/1.5090271zbMATH Open1421.62009arXiv1901.09195OpenAlexW2913860142WikidataQ91559998 ScholiaQ91559998MaRDI QIDQ5227583FDOQ5227583

Lorenz Richter, Lara Neureither, Omar Kebiri, Carsten Hartmann

Publication date: 6 August 2019

Published in: Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: We propose an adaptive importance sampling scheme for the simulation of rare events when the underlying dynamics is given by a diffusion. The scheme is based on a Gibbs variational principle that is used to determine the optimal (i.e. zero-variance) change of measure and exploits the fact that the latter can be rephrased as a stochastic optimal control problem. The control problem can be solved by a stochastic approximation algorithm, using the Feynman-Kac representation of the associated dynamic programming equations, and we discuss numerical aspects for high-dimensional problems along with simple toy examples.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1901.09195




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