Records in a changing world
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Publication:5239371
Abstract: In the context of this paper, a record is an entry in a sequence of random variables (RV's) that is larger or smaller than all previous entries. After a brief review of the classic theory of records, which is largely restricted to sequences of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) RV's, new results for sequences of independent RV's with distributions that broaden or sharpen with time are presented. In particular, we show that when the width of the distribution grows as a power law in time , the mean number of records is asymptotically of order for distributions with a power law tail (the extit{Fr'echet class} of extremal value statistics), of order for distributions of exponential type ( extit{Gumbel class}), and of order for distributions of bounded support ( extit{Weibull class}), where the exponent describes the behaviour of the distribution at the upper (or lower) boundary. Simulations are presented which indicate that, in contrast to the i.i.d. case, the sequence of record breaking events is correlated in such a way that the variance of the number of records is asymptotically smaller than the mean.
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Cites work
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- Breaking Records and Breaking Boards
- Critical phenomena in natural sciences. Chaos, fractals, selforganization and disorder: concepts and tools
- On outstanding values in a sequence of random variables
- On record values and record times
- On records and related processes for sequences with trends
- On the distribution of the inter-record times in an increasing population
- Punctuated evolution for the quasispecies model
- Records
- Records from improving populations
- Records in the presence of a linear trend
Cited in
(15)- Records and sequences of records from random variables with a linear trend
- Scaling exponent for incremental records
- Records for the moving average of a time series
- Extreme value statistics of correlated random variables: a pedagogical review
- Records in the classical and quantum standard map
- Records
- Records from improving populations
- Record statistics of a strongly correlated time series: random walks and Lévy flights
- Extremes of 2d Coulomb gas: universal intermediate deviation regime
- Record statistics for random walks and Lévy flights with resetting
- Correlations between record events in sequences of random variables with a linear trend
- Statistics of the number of records for random walks and Lévy flights on a 1D lattice
- Universal first-passage properties of discrete-time random walks and Lévy flights on a line: statistics of the global maximum and records
- On multidimensional record patterns
- Extreme value statistics of ergodic Markov processes from first passage times in the large deviation limit
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