Self-exciting point process modeling of crime
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Publication:5256403
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- Non-local crime density estimation incorporating housing information
- Space-time inhomogeneous background intensity estimators for semi-parametric space-time self-exciting point process models
- Scalable high-resolution forecasting of sparse spatiotemporal events with kernel methods: a winning solution to the NIJ ``Real-time crime forecasting challenge
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- Graphical Modeling for Multivariate Hawkes Processes with Nonparametric Link Functions
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- The existence and stability of spike solutions for a chemotaxis system modeling crime pattern formation
- An estimation procedure for the Hawkes process
- Direct Likelihood Evaluation for the Renewal Hawkes Process
- Multivariate spatiotemporal Hawkes processes and network reconstruction
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- Hawkes binomial topic model with applications to coupled conflict-Twitter data
- Modeling memory effects in activity-driven networks
- Analysis and control of epidemics in temporal networks with self-excitement and behavioral changes
- Spatiotemporal-textual point processes for crime linkage detection
- A coupled ETAS-\(\mathrm{I}^{2}\)GMM point process with applications to seismic fault detection
- Point process estimation with Mirror Prox algorithms
- Reactive point processes: a new approach to predicting power failures in underground electrical systems
- Semiparametric Bayesian forecasting of spatiotemporal earthquake occurrences
- A mathematical model of serious and minor criminal activity
- Nonparametric Bayesian estimation for multivariate Hawkes processes
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- A GENERALIZED CONTAGION PROCESS WITH AN APPLICATION TO CREDIT RISK
- Modeling and estimation of multi-source clustering in crime and security data
- Modeling and estimation for self-exciting spatio-temporal models of terrorist activity
- An elementary derivation of moments of Hawkes processes
- Spatio-temporal patterns of IED usage by the Provisional Irish Republican Army
- Hidden Markov models for the activity profile of terrorist groups
- Modeling criminal careers of different levels of offence
- Sparse and low-rank multivariate Hawkes processes
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- GP-ETAS: semiparametric Bayesian inference for the spatio-temporal epidemic type aftershock sequence model
- Testing for self-excitation in jumps
- A stochastic-statistical residential burglary model with independent Poisson clocks
- Space and circular time log Gaussian Cox processes with application to crime event data
- Sequential data assimilation for 1D self-exciting processes with application to urban crime data
- Context-aware spatio-temporal event prediction via convolutional Hawkes processes
- Approximate filtering of conditional intensity process for Poisson count data: application to urban crime
- Testing for high-dimensional network parameters in auto-regressive models
- A model of riots dynamics: shocks, diffusion and thresholds
- Nonstationary ETAS models for nonstandard earthquakes
- Queues driven by Hawkes processes
- Modelling the Relationship Between Crime Count and Observation Period in Prison Inmates' Self-Report Data
- A test for self-exciting clustering mechanism
- Estimation of slowly decreasing Hawkes kernels: application to high-frequency order book dynamics
- Bayesian inference for Hawkes processes
- A convection-diffusion model for gang territoriality
- Latent self-exciting point process model for spatial-temporal networks
- Statistical inference for a partially observed interacting system of Hawkes processes
- Including covariates in a space-time point process with application to seismicity
- A multiscale stochastic criminal behavior model under a hybrid scheme
- Numerical method for means of linear Hawkes processes
- Point process modeling of drug overdoses with heterogeneous and missing data
- Modeling event cascades using networks of additive count sequences
- Nonparametric estimation of variable productivity Hawkes processes
- Investigating Clustering and Violence Interruption in Gang-Related Violent Crime Data Using Spatial–Temporal Point Processes With Covariates
- Hawkes processes in energy markets: modelling, estimation and derivatives pricing
- Nonparametric estimation of recursive point processes with application to mumps in Pennsylvania
- The limits of statistical significance of Hawkes processes fitted to financial data
- Hawkes processes framework with a gamma density as excitation function: application to natural disasters for insurance
- Continuous Time-Interaction Processes for Population Size Estimation, with an Application to Drug Dealing in Italy
- A mechanistic bivariate point process model for crime pattern analysis
- Graph-based mutually exciting point processes for modelling event times in docked bike-sharing systems
- Fifty years later: new directions in Hawkes processes
- Multivariate Hawkes processes with spatial covariates for spatiotemporal event data analysis
- Estimation, diagnostics, and extensions of nonparametric Hawkes processes with kernel functions
- Self-exciting point process models for political conflict forecasting
- The multivariate generalized linear Hawkes process in high dimensions with applications in neuroscience
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 7306920 (Why is no real title available?)
- Multivariate Hawkes process allowing for common shocks
- Multivariate quadratic Hawkes processes—part I: theoretical analysis
- Modelling Burglary in Chicago using a self-exciting point process with isotropic triggering
- Group Network Hawkes Process
- Reliability analysis of load-sharing systems with memory
- A diffusion-based spatio-temporal extension of Gaussian Matérn fields
- A permutation test to identify important attributes for linking crimes of serial offenders
- Calibration diagnostics for point process models via the probability integral transform
- Accelerated non-parametrics for cascades of Poisson processes
- Investigating mesh-based approximation methods for the normalization constant in the log Gaussian Cox process likelihood
- Bootstrap inference for Hawkes and general point processes
- Mining periodic patterns and cascading bursts phenomenon in individual e-mail communication
- Approximation of Bayesian Hawkes process with \texttt{inlabru}
- Modeling sexual violence within the homelessness population through an agent-based approach
- Validation of point process predictions with proper scoring rules
- Comparative evaluation of point process forecasts
- Generalized evolutionary point processes: model specifications and model comparison
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