Optimal high-frequency trading in a pro rata microstructure with predictive information
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Publication:5262513
DOI10.1111/MAFI.12042zbMATH Open1331.91166arXiv1205.3051OpenAlexW3122773111MaRDI QIDQ5262513FDOQ5262513
Publication date: 15 July 2015
Published in: Mathematical Finance (Search for Journal in Brave)
Abstract: We propose a framework to study optimal trading policies in a one-tick pro-rata limit order book, as typically arises in short-term interest rate futures contracts. The high-frequency trader has the choice to trade via market orders or limit orders, which are represented respectively by impulse controls and regular controls. We model and discuss the consequences of the two main features of this particular microstructure: first, the limit orders sent by the high frequency trader are only partially executed, and therefore she has no control on the executed quantity. For this purpose, cumulative executed volumes are modelled by compound Poisson processes. Second, the high frequency trader faces the overtrading risk, which is the risk of brutal variations in her inventory. The consequences of this risk are investigated in the context of optimal liquidation. The optimal trading problem is studied by stochastic control and dynamic programming methods, which lead to a characterization of the value function in terms of an integro quasi-variational inequality. We then provide the associated numerical resolution procedure, and convergence of this computational scheme is proved. Next, we examine several situations where we can on one hand simplify the numerical procedure by reducing the number of state variables, and on the other hand focus on specific cases of practical interest. We examine both a market making problem and a best execution problem in the case where the mid-price process is a martingale. We also detail a high frequency trading strategy in the case where a (predictive) directional information on the mid-price is available. Each of the resulting strategies are illustrated by numerical tests.
Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1205.3051
Recommendations
marked point processlimit order bookstochastic controlmarket makinginventory riskpro rata microstructure
Portfolio theory (91G10) Microeconomic theory (price theory and economic markets) (91B24) Optimal stochastic control (93E20)
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Cited In (19)
- Order execution probability and order queue in limit order markets
- Closed-form Approximations in Multi-asset Market Making
- Mean-Field Game Strategies for Optimal Execution
- Adaptive optimal market making strategies with inventory liquidation cost
- Algorithmic Trading with Model Uncertainty
- Optimal execution with limit and market orders
- A data-driven deep learning approach for options market making
- GENERAL INTENSITY SHAPES IN OPTIMAL LIQUIDATION
- Algorithmic market making for options
- Size matters for OTC market makers: General results and dimensionality reduction techniques
- TRADING STRATEGIES WITHIN THE EDGES OF NO-ARBITRAGE
- The information content of high-frequency traders aggressive orders: recent evidence
- Optimal order placement in limit order markets
- Inventory management in customised liquidity pools
- Algorithmic Trading, Stochastic Control, and Mutually Exciting Processes
- OPTIMAL LIQUIDATION AND ADVERSE SELECTION IN DARK POOLS
- A faster estimation method for the probability of informed trading using hierarchical agglomerative clustering
- PORTFOLIO LIQUIDATION IN DARK POOLS IN CONTINUOUS TIME
- Algorithmic market making in dealer markets with hedging and market impact
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