One-parameter statistical model for linear stochastic differential equation with time delay

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Publication:5280375




Abstract: Assume that we observe a stochastic process (X(t))tin[r,T], which satisfies the linear stochastic delay differential equation [ mathrm{d} X(t) = vartheta int_{[-r,0]} X(t + u) , a(mathrm{d} u) , mathrm{d} t + mathrm{d} W(t) , qquad t geq 0 , ] where a is a finite signed measure on [r,0]. The local asymptotic properties of the likelihood function are studied. Local asymptotic normality is proved in case of vvartheta<0, local asymptotic quadraticity is shown if vvartheta=0, and, under some additional conditions, local asymptotic mixed normality or periodic local asymptotic mixed normality is valid if vvartheta>0, where vvartheta is an appropriately defined quantity. As an application, the asymptotic behaviour of the maximum likelihood estimator widehatvarthetaT of vartheta based on (X(t))tin[r,T] can be derived as Toinfty.









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