Logistic model for stock market bubbles and anti-bubbles

DOI10.1142/S0219024917500388MaRDI QIDQ5367500zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors

Publication date 13 October 2017

Published in International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1142/s0219024917500388

zbMATH Keywords

criticalityrenormalization groupfinancial bubblesdiscrete scale invariancelog-periodic power laws

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Applications of statistical and quantum mechanics to economics (econophysics) (91B80) Time-dependent Schrödinger equations and Dirac equations (35Q41) Renormalization group methods applied to problems in quantum field theory (81T17) Financial applications of other theories (91G80)

Recommendations

• Evidence of a worldwide stock market log-periodic anti-bubble since mid-2000
• Renormalization group analysis of the 2000-2002 anti-bubble in the US S\& P500 index: explanation of the hierarchy of five crashes and prediction
• BUBBLES AND ANTI-BUBBLES IN LATIN-AMERICAN, ASIAN AND WESTERN STOCK MARKETS: AN EMPIRICAL STUDY
• Significance of log-periodic precursors to financial crashes
• Log-periodic self-similarity: an emerging financial law?

Cites work

• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 1987559 (Why is no real title available?)
• A statistical analysis of log-periodic precursors to financial crashes
• Approximate solutions of functional equations
• CRASHES AS CRITICAL POINTS
• Discrete scale invariance in stock markets before crashes
• Prediction accuracy and sloppiness of log-periodic functions

Cited in

(10)

• BUBBLES AND ANTI-BUBBLES IN LATIN-AMERICAN, ASIAN AND WESTERN STOCK MARKETS: AN EMPIRICAL STUDY
• Evidence of a worldwide stock market log-periodic anti-bubble since mid-2000
• Detection of financial bubbles using a log-periodic power law singularity (LPPLS) model
• Stochastic theory of log-periodic patterns.
• Can log-periodic power law structures arise from random fluctuations?
• FRACTIONAL MARKET MODEL AND ITS VERIFICATION ON THE WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
• Renormalization group analysis of the 2000-2002 anti-bubble in the US S\& P500 index: explanation of the hierarchy of five crashes and prediction
• Log-periodic self-similarity: an emerging financial law?
• New JLS-factor model versus the standard JLS model: a case study on Chinese stock bubbles
• Logistic function in large financial crashes

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