Distinct metastable atmospheric regimes despite nearly Gaussian statistics: A paradigm model

DOI10.1073/pnas.0602641103zbMath1160.86304OpenAlexW2039166743WikidataQ34694004 ScholiaQ34694004MaRDI QIDQ5385898

Andrew J. Majda, Daan Crommelin, Christian L. E. Franzke, Alexander Fischer

Publication date: 7 May 2008

Published in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0602641103

zbMATH Keywords

stochastic modelinghidden Markov modelspredictabilityatmospheric low-frequency variability

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Meteorology and atmospheric physics (86A10)

Related Items (17)

Challenges in Climate Science and Contemporary Applied Mathematics ⋮ An ensemble Kalman filter for statistical estimation of physics constrained nonlinear regression models ⋮ Information theory, model error, and predictive skill of stochastic models for complex nonlinear systems ⋮ Persistent regimes and extreme events of the North Atlantic atmospheric circulation ⋮ Enhanced regime predictability in atmospheric low-order models due to stochastic forcing ⋮ Low-dimensional reduced-order models for statistical response and uncertainty quantification: barotropic turbulence with topography ⋮ Non-Gaussian test models for prediction and state estimation with model errors ⋮ New nonlinear mechanisms of midlatitude atmospheric low-frequency variability ⋮ On finite-size Lyapunov exponents in multiscale systems ⋮ Normal forms for reduced stochastic climate models ⋮ High skill in low-frequency climate response through fluctuation dissipation theorems despite structural instability ⋮ Invariant measures and asymptotic Gaussian bounds for normal forms of stochastic climate model ⋮ Polynomial nonlinear spatio‐temporal integro‐difference equation models ⋮ STOCHASTIC RESONANCE IN A SIMPLE MODEL OF MAGNETIC REVERSALS ⋮ Autoregressive statistical modeling of a Peru margin multi-proxy holocene record shows correlation not causation, flickering regimes and persistence ⋮ An applied mathematics perspective on stochastic modelling for climate ⋮ Fixed points, stable manifolds, weather regimes, and their predictability

Cites Work

• Nonlinear stability and statistical mechanics of flow over topography
• Models for stochastic climate prediction
• Error bounds for convolutional codes and an asymptotically optimum decoding algorithm

This page was built for publication: Distinct metastable atmospheric regimes despite nearly Gaussian statistics: A paradigm model