A sharp analysis on the asymptotic behavior of the Durbin–Watson statistic for the first-order autoregressive process

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Publication:5408482

DOI10.1051/PS/2012005zbMATH Open1395.62263arXiv1104.3328OpenAlexW2964082508MaRDI QIDQ5408482FDOQ5408482


Authors: Bernard Bercu, Frédéric Proïa Edit this on Wikidata


Publication date: 10 April 2014

Published in: ESAIM: Probability and Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to provide a sharp analysis on the asymptotic behavior of the Durbin-Watson statistic. We focus our attention on the first-order autoregressive process where the driven noise is also given by a first-order autoregressive process. We establish the almost sure convergence and the asymptotic normality for both the least squares estimator of the unknown parameter of the autoregressive process as well as for the serial correlation estimator associated to the driven noise. In addition, the almost sure rates of convergence of our estimates are also provided. It allows us to establish the almost sure convergence and the asymptotic normality for the Durbin-Watson statistic. Finally, we propose a new bilateral statistical test for residual autocorrelation.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1104.3328




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