The Distribution of the Variance of Primes in Arithmetic Progressions

DOI10.1093/IMRN/RNU074zbMATH Open1391.11119arXiv1301.5663OpenAlexW2963563802MaRDI QIDQ5500436FDOQ5500436

Daniel Fiorilli

Publication date: 6 August 2015

Published in: IMRN. International Mathematics Research Notices (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: Hooley conjectured that the variance V(x;q) of the distribution of primes up to x in the arithmetic progressions modulo q is asymptotically x log q, in some unspecified range of qleq x. On average over 1leq q leq Q, this conjecture is known unconditionally in the range x/(log x)^A leq Q leq x; this last range can be improved to x^{frac 12+epsilon} leq Q leq x under the Generalized Riemann Hypothesis (GRH). We argue that Hooley's conjecture should hold down to (loglog x)^{1+o(1)} leq q leq x for all values of q, and that this range is best possible. We show under GRH and a linear independence hypothesis on the zeros of Dirichlet L-functions that for moderate values of q, phi(q)e^{-y}V(e^y;q) has the same distribution as that of a certain random variable of mean asymptotically phi(q) log q and of variance asymptotically 2phi(q)(log q)^2. Our estimates on the large deviations of this random variable allow us to predict the range of validity of Hooley's Conjecture.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1301.5663

zbMATH Keywords

arithmetic progressionsDirichlet \(L\)-functionsHooley's conjecture

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Arithmetic progressions (11B25) Distribution of primes (11N05) Primes in congruence classes (11N13)

Cited In (7)

• Correlations of sieve weights and distributions of zeros
• Disproving Hooley's conjecture
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• Variants of equidistribution in arithmetic progression and the twin prime conjecture
• Variation estimates for averages along primes and polynomials
• SPARSE VARIANCE FOR PRIMES IN ARITHMETIC PROGRESSION
• Moments of moments of primes in arithmetic progressions

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