Estimation and Forecasting in Models with Multiple Breaks
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Publication:5755044
DOI10.1111/J.1467-937X.2007.00436.XzbMATH Open1171.62342OpenAlexW2059618523MaRDI QIDQ5755044FDOQ5755044
Authors: Gary Koop, Simon Potter
Publication date: 20 August 2007
Published in: Review of Economic Studies (Search for Journal in Brave)
Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-937x.2007.00436.x
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Time series, auto-correlation, regression, etc. in statistics (GARCH) (62M10) Applications of statistics to economics (62P20) Non-Markovian processes: estimation (62M09)
Cited In (39)
- Forecasting inflation using time-varying Bayesian model averaging
- Dirichlet process hidden Markov multiple change-point model
- Optimal forecasts in the presence of structural breaks
- Bayesian inference and prediction of a multiple-change-point panel model with nonparametric priors
- Modeling structural breaks in economic relationships using large shocks
- Sequential Bayesian inference for vector autoregressions with stochastic volatility
- Modeling U.S. inflation dynamics: a Bayesian nonparametric approach
- Modelling breaks and clusters in the steady states of macroeconomic variables
- Using time-varying volatility for identification in vector autoregressions: an application to endogenous uncertainty
- Statistical analysis of the non-stationary binomial AR(1) model with change point
- Markov breaks in regression models
- Analyzing cross-validation for forecasting with structural instability
- An exact approach to Bayesian sequential change point detection
- Variable selection in panel models with breaks
- Macroeconomic Factors Strike Back: A Bayesian Change-Point Model of Time-Varying Risk Exposures and Premia in the U.S. Cross-Section
- The Stochastic Volatility in Mean Model With Time-Varying Parameters: An Application to Inflation Modeling
- Bayesian semi-parametric analysis of Poisson change-point regression models: application to policy-making in Cali, Colombia
- Structural Breaks in Grouped Heterogeneity
- A New Approach to Dating the Reference Cycle
- Learning and Index Option Returns
- The macroeconomic and fiscal implications of inflation forecast errors
- On the evolution of the monetary policy transmission mechanism
- Structural evolution of the postwar U.S. economy
- Multi‐step forecasting in the presence of breaks
- Bayesian model selection for unit root testing with multiple structural breaks
- Classification in segmented regression problems
- BAYESIAN DYNAMIC VARIABLE SELECTION IN HIGH DIMENSIONS
- Moving average stochastic volatility models with application to inflation forecast
- Sparse change-point HAR models for realized variance
- Estimating multiple breaks in mean sequentially with fractionally integrated errors
- \(K\)-state switching models with time-varying transition distributions -- Does loan growth signal stronger effects of variables on inflation?
- Forecasting Time Series Subject to Multiple Structural Breaks
- Relevant parameter changes in structural break models
- Structural changes in inflation dynamics: multiple breaks at different dates for different parameters
- Inference and prediction in a multiple-structural-break model
- Estimating multiple breaks in nonstationary autoregressive models
- A flexible approach to parametric inference in nonlinear and time varying time series models
- Clustering Multiple Time Series with Structural Breaks
- High-Dimensional Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Message Passing Algorithms
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