Conformal Prediction: A Gentle Introduction

DOI10.1561/2200000101OpenAlexW4361012985MaRDI QIDQ5885998FDOQ5885998

Stephen Bates, Anastasios N. Angelopoulos

Publication date: 30 March 2023

Published in: Foundations and Trends® in Machine Learning (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1561/2200000101

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zbMATH Keywords

nonparametric methodsclassification and predictionstatistical/machine learninglearning and statistical methods

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Learning and adaptive systems in artificial intelligence (68T05) Research exposition (monographs, survey articles) pertaining to computer science (68-02)

Cites Work

• Regression Quantiles
• Quantile regression.
• On a Test of Whether one of Two Random Variables is Stochastically Larger than the Other
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• Title not available (Why is that?)
• Predictive inference with the jackknife+
• Distribution-Free Predictive Inference For Regression
• Cross-conformal predictors
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• Fast exact conformalization of the lasso using piecewise linear homotopy
• A conformal prediction approach to explore functional data
• Classification with confidence
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• Distribution-free Prediction Bands for Non-parametric Regression
• Additive models for quantile regression: model selection and confidence bands
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• The sources of Kolmogorov's \textit{Grundbegriffe}
• Title not available (Why is that?)
• Combinatorial foundations of information theory and the calculus of probabilities
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• Symmetric Measures on Cartesian Products
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• Logical basis for information theory and probability theory
• Global nonparametric estimation of conditional quantile functions and their derivatives
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• Uses of exchangeability
• Bernard Friedman's Urn
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• The Power of Rank Tests
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• On the concept of the Bernoulli property
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• The limits of distribution-free conditional predictive inference
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• Sophistication as Randomness Deficiency
• Root-finding approaches for computing conformal prediction set

Cited In (8)

• Conformal prediction beyond exchangeability
• Synergies between machine learning and reasoning -- an introduction by the Kay R. Amel group
• Distribution-free, Risk-controlling Prediction Sets
• Hoeffding and Bernstein inequalities for weighted sums of exchangeable random variables
• Conformalized-DeepONet: a distribution-free framework for uncertainty quantification in deep operator networks
• Conditional validity of inductive conformal predictors
• Title not available (Why is that?)
• Selective Prediction-Set Models with Coverage Rate Guarantees

Uses Software

• Python
• conformalInference
• BERT
• CatBoost
• MS-COCO
• Jupyter Notebook
• Detoxify

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