Threshold models in non-linear time series analysis
From MaRDI portal
Publication:595307
zbMath0527.62083MaRDI QIDQ595307
Publication date: 1983
Published in: Lecture Notes in Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)
limit cyclesnonlinear oscillationsthreshold modelsAIC criterionnonlinear time series analysisecologynonlinear filtersunspot numbersautoregressionslocal linearisation of inverse functionmodelling of time seriesriverflow data
Inference from stochastic processes and prediction (62M20) Time series, auto-correlation, regression, etc. in statistics (GARCH) (62M10) Non-Markovian processes: estimation (62M09) Research exposition (monographs, survey articles) pertaining to statistics (62-02)
Related Items
Sequential point estimation of parameters in a threshold AR(1) model, Estimation in nonlinear time series models, Large sample inference for conditional exponential families with applications to nonlinear time series, On continuous-time threshold ARMA processes, The limiting behavior of least absolute deviation estimators for threshold autoregressive models, Riesz estimators, Self-exciting threshold binomial autoregressive processes, Nonlinear modeling and prediction by successive approximation using radial basis functions, Nonparametric time series regression, Contemporaneous threshold autoregressive models: estimation, testing and forecasting, A smoothed least squares estimator for threshold regression models, Finite sample properties of the QMLE for the log-ACD model: application to Australian stocks, Parameter estimation for threshold Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes from discrete observations, The MIN PFS problem and piecewise linear model estimation, Modeling default data via an interactive hidden Markov model, On the approximation of continuous time threshold ARMA processes, A self-exciting threshold jump-diffusion model for option valuation, Recent developments in time series forecasting, Local polynomial estimators of the volatility function in nonparametric autoregression, A threshold cointegration test with increased power, Parameter uncertainty and impulse response analysis, Cost-sensitive estimation of ARMA models for financial asset return data, Nonlinear prediction of chaotic time series, Distribution-free strong consistency for nonparametric kernel regression involving nonlinear time series, On forecasting SETAR processes, Estimation in threshold autoregressive models with correlated innovations, Kernel estimation for time series: an asymptotic theory, Stationarity and second-order properties of a scalar-valued nonlinear time series with Gaussian residuals, Modeling nonlinearities with mixtures-of-experts of time series models, A consistent nonparametric test for linearity of \(\text{AR} (p)\) models, Threshold models in time series analysis -- some reflections, A floor and ceiling model of US output, Discussion of `An analysis of global warming in the Alpine region based on nonlinear nonstationary time series models' by Battaglia and Protopapas, Performance fees and hedge fund return dynamics, The real consequences of financial stress, LM threshold unit root tests, Deviation inequalities and moderate deviations for estimators of parameters in TAR models, Local unit roots and global stationarity of TARMA models, Nonlinear stochastic inflation modelling using SEASETARs., A practical method for outlier detection in autoregressive time series modelling, Simulation analysis of threshold autoregressive unit root tests, DNA optimization threshold autoregressive prediction model and its application in ice condition time series, Optimal estimates for the operating parameters of an information web portal, A confidence interval test for the detection of structural breaks, Modified unit root tests and momentum threshold autoregressive processes., Bayesian estimation for threshold autoregressive model with multiple structural breaks, Pricing and managing risks of European-style options in a Markovian regime-switching binomial model, Pricing and managing risks of ruin contingent life annuities under regime switching variance gamma process, Diagnostic checking of multivariate nonlinear time series models with martingale difference errors, A hidden Markov regime-switching model for option valuation, Testing for the cointegration rank in threshold cointegrated systems with multiple cointegrating relationships, A nonlinear model for predicting interannual changes in Calanus finmarchicus abundance in the gulf of maine, Chaotic dynamics of a piecewise linear model of credit cycles, Qualitative threshold ARCH models, Adaptive estimation of the threshold point in threshold regression, Numerical issues in threshold autoregressive modeling of time series, Statistical estimation of the oscillating Brownian motion, Fitting piecewise linear threshold autoregressive models by means of genetic algorithms, Bayesian inference of nonlinear hysteretic integer-valued GARCH models for disease counts, Time series prediction based on data compression methods, Spline estimation of functional coefficient regression models for time series with correlated errors, A multivariate threshold stochastic volatility model, Estimation in threshold autoregressive models with a stationary and a unit root regime, Spatio-temporal change-point modeling, Testing for neglected nonlinearity in time series models. A comparison of neural network methods and alternative tests, The stationarity and invertibility of a class of nonlinear ARMA models, A nonlinear time series approach to modelling asymmetry in stock market indexes, Pricing participating products with Markov-modulated jump-diffusion process: an efficient numerical PIDE approach, Stochastic differential game, Esscher transform and general equilibrium under a Markovian regime-switching Lévy model, Order selection in nonlinear time series models with application to the study of cell memory, Extreme at-the-money skew in a local volatility model, Parameter identification in noisy extended systems: a hydrodynamic case, Bayesian inference of smooth transition autoregressive (STAR)\((k)\)-GARCH\((l, m)\) models, Pricing European vanilla options under a jump-to-default threshold diffusion model, Problems in estimating dynamics from data, Comparative analysis of robust and classical methods for estimating the parameters of a threshold autoregression equation, Two-step estimation of time-varying additive model for locally stationary time series, Multivariate contemporaneous-threshold autoregressive models, Asymptotic behavior of random coefficient INAR model under random environment defined by difference equation, A note on the consistency of a robust estimator for threshold autoregressive processes, Testing linearity against threshold effects: uniform inference in quantile regression, A regime switching model for temperature modeling and applications to weather derivatives pricing, A Bayesian analysis of generalized threshold autoregressive models, On a Markov chain approximation method for option pricing with regime switching, An instrumental variable approach for tests of unit roots and seasonal unit roots in asymmetric time series models., Identification of the dynamic parametrical model with an iterative orthogonal forward regression algorithm, Corrected confidence intervals for parameters in adaptive linear models, On geometric ergodicity of the MTAR process, Analyzing short time series data from periodically fluctuating rodent populations by threshold models: A nearest block bootstrap approach, Testing time series linearity via goodness-of-fit methods, On maximum likelihood estimators for a threshold autoregression, Nonparametric vector autoregression, The effects of temporal aggregation on tests of linearity of a time series., Estimation and model selection based inference in single and multiple threshold models., A Bayesian analysis of some threshold switching models, Large sample inference based on multiple observations from nonlinear autoregressive processes, Some problems of second method of Lyapunov in discrete systems, Asymptotic scaling laws for precision of parameter estimates in dynamical systems, Estimation of nonlinear autoregressive models using design-adapted wavelets, Testing for neglected nonlinearity in regression models based on the theory of random fields, Bayesian analysis of multiple thresholds autoregressive model, A note on regression kink model, TIME VARYING, NONLINEAR AR MODEL IDENTIFICATION: LAINIOTIS' MULTI MODEL METHODOLOGY, A NOTE ON THE THRESHOLD AR(1) MODEL WITH CAUCHY INNOVATIONS, Hidden Markov models with threshold effects and their applications to oil price forecasting, SOME DOUBLY STOCHASTIC TIME SERIES MODELS, Option Pricing and Filtering with Hidden Markov-Modulated Pure-Jump Processes, BAYESIAN THRESHOLD AUTOREGRESSIVE MODELS FOR NONLINEAR TIME SERIES, A nonparametric test of conditional autoregressive heteroscedasticity for threshold autoregressive models, Tests for a Unit Root Using Three-Regime TAR Models: Power Comparison and Some Applications, ON ESTIMATING THRESHOLDS IN AUTOREGRESSIVE MODELS, Modelling and analysis of non-linear time series, ON THE CONSISTENCY OF LEAST SQUARES ESTIMATORS FOR A THRESHOLD AR(1) MODEL, Forecasting Stock Returns: Does Switching Between Models Help?, Threshold Structures in Economic and Financial Time Series, A Hidden Markov-Modulated Jump Diffusion Model for European Option Pricing, A new nonlinearity test to circumvent the limitation of Volterra expansion with application, Theory and Applications of TAR Model with Two Threshold Variables, Parameter estimation for a class of radial basis function-based nonlinear time-series models with moving average noises, Likelihood ratio tests for the structural change of an AR(p) model to a Threshold AR(p) model, The first passage time on the (reflected) Brownian motion with broken drift hitting a random boundary, NON-LINEAR TIME SERIES MODELLING AND DISTRIBUTIONAL FLEXIBILITY, Predictive density criterion for SETAR models, ON THE EXISTENCE OF STATIONARY THRESHOLD AUTOREGRESSIVE MOVING-AVERAGE PROCESSES, THRESHOLD TIME SERIES MODELS AS MULTIMODAL DISTRIBUTION JUMP PROCESSES, Unnamed Item, Non-linear system identification using neural networks, Hysteresis and cyclical variability in real wages, output and unemployment: empirical evidence from nonlinear methods for the United States, Identification of multi-class linear and nonlinear systems, Frequentist model averaging for threshold models, COMPARISON OF SOME NON-LINEAR AUTOREGRESSIVE PROCESSES, SEMIPARAMETRIC TIME SERIES REGRESSION, ON THE MAXIMUM ENTROPY PROPERTY OF NONLINEAR AUTOREGRESSIONS, Quantile Regression on Quantile Ranges - A Threshold Approach, THRESHOLD VARIABLE SELECTION IN OPEN‐LOOP THRESHOLD AUTOREGRESSIVE MODELS, BAYESIAN INFERENCE OF THRESHOLD AUTOREGRESSIVE MODELS, State-dependent effects of fiscal policy, ARMA MODELLING WITH NON-GAUSSIAN INNOVATIONS, Wavelet estimation of functional coefficient regression models, Information criteria for nonlinear time series models, Effects of filtering data on testing asymmetry in threshold autoregressive models, Modeling threshold effects in stock price co-movements: a vector nonlinear cointegration approach, Estimation and inference of threshold regression models with measurement errors, Markov-switching quantile autoregression: a Gibbs sampling approach, A hidden Markov regime-switching smooth transition model, Double threshold autoregressive conditionally heteroscedastic model building by genetic algorithms, A New Multivariate Nonlinear Time Series Model for Portfolio Risk Measurement: The Threshold Copula-Based TAR Approach, Prediction of software reliability using an auto regressive process, Testing for cointegration with threshold adjustment in the presence of structural breaks, A switching model with flexible threshold variable: with an application to nonlinear dynamics in stock returns, Financial integration in emerging economies: an application of threshold cointegration, A variable addition test for exogeneity in structural threshold models, Measuring Time Series Predictability Using Support Vector Regression, An alternative approach to the modelling of interest rate pass through and asymmetric adjustment, On a method of identification of best subset model from full ar-model, Non-asymptotic confidence estimation of the parameters in stochastic regression models with Gaussian noises, Variance swaps under the threshold Ornstein–Uhlenbeck model, SOME PROPERTIES OF THE MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATOR IN THE SIMULTANEOUS SWITCHING AUTOREGRESSIVE MODEL, A Review of Nonparametric Time Series Analysis, Regularized orthogonal least squares algorithm for constructing radial basis function networks, Bootstrapping Threshold Autoregressive Models, Specification, Estimation, and Evaluation of Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models, Nonlinear ARMA models with functional MA coefficients, A STATE‐LEVEL ANALYSIS OF BUSINESS CYCLE ASYMMETRY, Book Reviews, THRESHOLD AUTOREGRESSIVE MODELING IN FINANCE: THE PRICE DIFFERENCES OF EQUIVALENT ASSETS1, Identification of TAR models using recursive estimation, Modeling nonlinear time series with local mixtures of generalized linear models, Functional-coefficient partially linear regression model, NUMERICAL EVALUATION OF DISTRIBUTIONS IN NON-LINEAR AUTOREGRESSION, A bivariate threshold time series model for analyzing Australian interest rates, SETAR model selection -- a bootstrap approach, The moments of SETARMA models, Stability of nonlinear stochastic recursions with application to nonlinear AR-GARCH models, Do Flow Rates Respond Asymmetrically to Water Level? Evidence from the Edwards Aquifer, An investigation of tests for linearity and the accuracy of likelihood based inference using random fields, Accounting seasonal nonstationarity in time series models for short-term ozone level forecast, Time Series Mixtures of GeneralizedtExperts: ML Estimation and an Application to Stock Return Density Forecasting, Identifying business cycle turning points with sequential Monte Carlo methods: an online and real-time application to the Euro area, Identification of hybrid systems. A tutorial, Performance of Model Selection Criteria in Bayesian Threshold VAR (TVAR) Models, Self-exciting threshold models for time series of counts with a finite range, Autoregressive processes with data-driven regime switching, Modelling long-term investment returns via Bayesian infinite mixture time series models, Bayesian modelling of nonlinear negative binomial integer-valued GARCHX models, Threshold quantile autoregressive models, Statistical Properties of Threshold Models, A TEST FOR NON-LINEARITY OF PREDICTION IN TIME SERIES, Weighted-averaging estimator for possible threshold in segmented linear regression model, Bayesian analysis of threshold autoregressions, On nonlinear models for time series, The least-squares criteria of the random coefficient dynamic regression model, Commercial and residential mortgage defaults: spatial dependence with frailty, Efficient estimation in smooth threshold autoregressive(1) models, Discrete Langevin-type equation for p-order persistent time series and procedure of its reconstruction, Improved method of sea level forecasting at Venice (Northern Adriatic sea), Testing for efficiency and non-linearity in market and natural time series, The Lee-Carter Model for Forecasting Mortality, Revisited, “Asset Allocation with Hedge Funds on the Menu,” Phelim Boyle and Sun Siang Liew, October 2007, Pricing Annuity Guarantees Under a Regime-Switching Model, Flexible Threshold Models for Modelling Interest Rate Volatility, A weak convergence result for sequential empirical processes under weak dependence, What does Google say about credit developments in Brazil?, Instability in regime switching models, Continuous‐time threshold autoregressions with jumps: Properties, estimation, and application to electricity markets, Beta observation-driven models with exogenous regressors: a joint analysis of realized correlation and leverage effects, Semi-parametric expected shortfall forecasting in financial markets, Threshold regression with nonparametric sample splitting, Short‐term forecasting with a computationally efficient nonparametric transfer function model, Spline estimation of partially linear regression models for time series with correlated errors, On the Stationary Marginal Distributions of Subclasses of Multivariate Setar Processes of Order One, Estimation of generalized threshold autoregressive models, Empirical likelihood for special self-exciting threshold autoregressive models with heavy-tailed errors, Stationarity and ergodic properties for some observation-driven models in random environments, Drift Estimation of the Threshold Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Process From Continuous and Discrete Observations, A THRESHOLD MODEL FOR LOCAL VOLATILITY: EVIDENCE OF LEVERAGE AND MEAN REVERSION EFFECTS ON HISTORICAL DATA, Hysteretic Poisson INGARCH model for integer-valued time series, Falling and explosive, dormant, and rising markets via multiple‐regime financial time series models, On geometric ergodicity of CHARME models, Some Nonlinear Threshold Autoregressive Time Series Models for Actuarial Use, Revisiting the Canadian Lynx Time Series Analysis Through TARMA Models, Asset allocation under threshold autoregressive models, Time-series forecasting using GA-tuned radial basis functions, A note on stationarity of the MTAR process on the boundary of the stationarity region, Using genetic algorithms to parameters \((d,r)\) estimation for threshold autoregressive models, HEDGING OPTIONS IN A DOUBLY MARKOV-MODULATED FINANCIAL MARKET VIA STOCHASTIC FLOWS, Mixed Portmanteau Tests for Time‐Series Models, Outlier analysis and mortality forecasting: The United Kingdom and Scandinavian countries, Unnamed Item, Unnamed Item, Bootstrap order selection for SETAR models, Improved autoregressive forecasts in the presence of non-normal errors, A local unit root test in mean for financial time series, On double hysteretic heteroskedastic model, Spatio-temporal Trend Analysis of Spring Arrival Data for Migratory Birds, Estimating a Banking-Macro Model Using a Multi-regime VAR, Common threshold in quantile regressions with an application to pricing for reputation, Nonlinear autoregressive models with optimality properties, Semiparametric transition models, Optimal investment-consumption-insurance strategy in a continuous-time self-exciting threshold model