Score, pseudo-score and residual diagnostics for spatial point process models

DOI10.1214/11-STS367zbMATH Open1332.62363arXiv1205.3918OpenAlexW3101887664MaRDI QIDQ5963772FDOQ5963772

Jesper Møller, Ege Rubak, Adrian Baddeley

Publication date: 23 February 2016

Published in: Statistical Science (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: We develop new tools for formal inference and informal model validation in the analysis of spatial point pattern data. The score test is generalized to a "pseudo-score" test derived from Besag's pseudo-likelihood, and to a class of diagnostics based on point process residuals. The results lend theoretical support to the established practice of using functional summary statistics, such as Ripley's $K$-function, when testing for complete spatial randomness; and they provide new tools such as the compensator of the $K$-function for testing other fitted models. The results also support localization methods such as the scan statistic and smoothed residual plots. Software for computing the diagnostics is provided.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1205.3918

zbMATH Keywords

pseudo-likelihoodcompensatormodel validationfunctional summary statisticspoint process residuals

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Inference from spatial processes (62M30) Point processes (e.g., Poisson, Cox, Hawkes processes) (60G55)

Cites Work

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Cited In (7)

• Modeling partially surveyed point process data: inferring spatial point intensity of geomagnetic anomalies
• Voronoi residual analysis of spatial point process models with applications to California earthquake forecasts
• A review of self-exciting spatio-temporal point processes and their applications
• Properties of residuals for spatial point processes
• Validation of point process predictions with proper scoring rules
• Fast covariance estimation for innovations computed from a spatial Gibbs point process
• Calibration diagnostics for point process models via the probability integral transform

Uses Software

• spatstat
• spatial
• pyuvdata

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