A model of <scp>supply‐chain</scp> decisions for resource sharing with an application to ventilator allocation to combat <scp>COVID</scp>‐19

DOI10.1002/NAV.21905MaRDI QIDQ6072142zbMATH OpenFDO

Authors Sanjay Mehrotra, Hamed Rahimian, Fengqiao Luo

Publication date 12 October 2023

Published in Naval Research Logistics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/2004.01318

zbMATH Keywords

COVID-19emergency managementmixed integer programmingresource sharingstochastic programmingventilator allocation

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Inventory, storage, reservoirs (90B05) Management decision making, including multiple objectives (90B50) Stochastic programming (90C15) Resource and cost allocation (including fair division, apportionment, etc.) (91B32) Medical applications (general) (92C50)

Abstract: This paper presents a stochastic optimization model for allocating and sharing a critical resource in the case of a pandemic. The demand for different entities peaks at different times, and an initial inventory from a central agency is to be allocated. The entities (states) may share the critical resource with a different state under a risk-averse condition. The model is applied to study the allocation of ventilator inventory in the COVID-19 pandemic by the Federal Emergency Management Agency of the US Department of Homeland Security (FEMA) to different states in the US. Findings suggest that if less than 60% of the ventilator inventory is available for non-COVID-19 patients, FEMA's stockpile of 20,000 ventilators (as of 03/23/2020) would be nearly adequate to meet the projected needs. However, when more than 75% of the available ventilator inventory must be reserved for non-COVID-19 patients, various degrees of shortfall are expected. In an extreme case, where the demand is assumed to be concentrated in the top-most quartile of the forecast confidence interval, the total shortfall over the planning horizon (till 05/31/20) is about 28,500 ventilator days, with a peak shortfall of 2,700 ventilators on 04/12/20. The results also suggest that in the worse-than-average to severe demand scenario cases, NY requires between 7,600-9,200 additional ventilators for COVID-19 patients during its peak demand. However, between 400 to 2,000 of these ventilators can be given to a different state after the peak demand in NY has subsided.

Recommendations

• Mathematical optimization models for reallocating and sharing health equipment in pandemic situations
• Fair allocation of personal protective equipment to health centers during early phases of a pandemic
• PPE supply optimization under risks of disruption from the COVID-19 pandemic
• Covid-19 PPE distribution planning with demand priorities and supply uncertainties
• Competition for medical supplies under stochastic demand in the Covid-19 pandemic: a generalized Nash equilibrium framework

Cites work

• A medical resource allocation model for serving emergency victims with deteriorating health conditions
• Introduction to stochastic programming.
• Lectures on stochastic programming. Modeling and theory.

Cited in

(28)

• Data laboratory for supply chain response models during epidemic outbreaks
• Competition for medical supplies under stochastic demand in the Covid-19 pandemic: a generalized Nash equilibrium framework
• Forecasting demand for personal protective equipment for Ontario acute care hospitals during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic
• Resource distribution under spatiotemporal uncertainty of disease spread: stochastic versus robust approaches
• Designing an optimal sequence of non-pharmaceutical interventions for controlling COVID-19
• Resource planning strategies for healthcare systems during a pandemic
• Design of control strategies to help prevent the spread of COVID-19 pandemic
• COVID-19: data-driven optimal allocation of ventilator supply under uncertainty and risk
• Capacity planning for effective cohorting of hemodialysis patients during the coronavirus pandemic: a case study
• Stochastic optimization for vaccine and testing kit allocation for the COVID-19 pandemic
• Optimal age- and sex-based management of the queue to ventilators during the Covid-19 crisis
• Fair allocation of personal protective equipment to health centers during early phases of a pandemic
• Covid-19 PPE distribution planning with demand priorities and supply uncertainties
• A price oriented optimal production and allocation strategy of protective suppliers in the epidemic situation
• Data-driven fair resource allocation for novel emerging epidemics: a COVID-19 Convalescent Plasma case study
• Optimal replenishment and transshipment management with two locations
• Risk-based allocation of COVID-19 personal protective equipment under supply shortages
• Mathematical optimization models for reallocating and sharing health equipment in pandemic situations
• Mitigating the COVID‐19 pandemic through data‐driven resource sharing
• PPE supply optimization under risks of disruption from the COVID-19 pandemic
• A data-driven optimization model to response to COVID-19 pandemic: a case study
• Exiting the COVID-19 pandemic: after-shock risks and avoidance of disruption tails in supply chains
• Inventory and order management for healthcare commodities during a pandemic
• Editorial: Advancing pandemic preparedness through data analytics and operations research
• Management of resource sharing in emergency response using data-driven analytics
• Optimization modeling for pandemic vaccine supply chain management: a review and future research opportunities
• Will the substitution policy resolve the shortage of personal protection equipment?
• Navigating the waves: the global pandemic's impact on container shipping and freight rates across different policy scenarios

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