How robustly can you predict the future?

DOI10.4153/S0008414X22000402MaRDI QIDQ6080106zbMATH OpenOpenAlexWikidataFDO

Authors Sean Cox

Publication date 30 October 2023

Published in Canadian Journal of Mathematics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Copyright license Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/2208.09722

zbMATH Keywords

commutatorsaxiom of choicefree actionsHölder's theoremhat puzzles

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

General theory of group and pseudogroup actions (22F05) Functions of one variable (26A99) Axiom of choice and related propositions (03E25) Topological and differentiable algebraic systems (22A99) Other connections with logic and set theory (28E15)

Abstract: Hardin and Taylor cite{MR2384262} proved that any function on the reals -- even a nowhere continuous one -- can be correctly predicted, based solely on its past behavior, at almost every point in time. They showed in cite{MR3100500} that one could even arrange for the predictors to be robust with respect to simple time shifts, and asked whether they could be robust with respect to other, more complicated time distortions. This question was partially answered by Bajpai and Velleman cite{MR3552748}, who provided upper and lower frontiers (in the subgroup lattice of $ext{Homeo}^{+}(mathbbR)$) on how robust a predictor can possibly be. We improve both frontiers, some of which reduce ultimately to consequences of H"older's Theorem (that every Archimedean group is abelian).

Cites work

• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3222127 (Why is no real title available?)
• A Peculiar Connection Between the Axiom of Choice and Predicting the Future
• Anonymity in predicting the future
• Groups of real-analytic diffeomorphisms of the circle
• The mathematics of coordinated inference. A study of generalized hat problems

Cited in

(1)

• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3844875 (Why is no real title available?)

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