Arbitrage-Free Neural-SDE Market Models

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Publication:6092913

DOI10.1080/1350486X.2023.2257217zbMATH Open1530.91566arXiv2105.11053MaRDI QIDQ6092913FDOQ6092913

Samuel N. Cohen, Sheng Wang, C. Reisinger

Publication date: 23 November 2023

Published in: Applied Mathematical Finance (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: Modelling joint dynamics of liquid vanilla options is crucial for arbitrage-free pricing of illiquid derivatives and managing risks of option trade books. This paper develops a nonparametric model for the European options book respecting underlying financial constraints and while being practically implementable. We derive a state space for prices which are free from static (or model-independent) arbitrage and study the inference problem where a model is learnt from discrete time series data of stock and option prices. We use neural networks as function approximators for the drift and diffusion of the modelled SDE system, and impose constraints on the neural nets such that no-arbitrage conditions are preserved. In particular, we give methods to calibrate extit{neural SDE} models which are guaranteed to satisfy a set of linear inequalities. We validate our approach with numerical experiments using data generated from a Heston stochastic local volatility model.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/2105.11053





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