Bayesian model-independent evaluation of expansion rates of the universe

DOI10.1007/S10509-010-0377-ZzbMATH Open1203.85018arXiv1003.6115OpenAlexW3105638474WikidataQ71434012 ScholiaQ71434012MaRDI QIDQ613073FDOQ613073

Authors: Moncy Vilavinal John 

Publication date: 17 December 2010

Published in: Astrophysics and Space Science (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: Marginal likelihoods for the cosmic expansion rates are evaluated using the `Constitution' data of 397 supernovas, thereby updating the results in some previous works. Even when beginning with a very strong prior probability that favors an accelerated expansion, we obtain a marginal likelihood for the deceleration parameter $q_0$ peaked around zero in the spatially flat case. It is also found that the new data significantly constrains the cosmographic expansion rates, when compared to the previous analyses. These results may strongly depend on the Gaussian prior probability distribution chosen for the Hubble parameter represented by $h$, with $h=0.68pm0.06$. This and similar priors for other expansion rates were deduced from previous data. Here again we perform the Bayesian model-independent analysis in which the scale factor is expanded into a Taylor series in time about the present epoch. Unlike such Taylor expansions in terms of redshift, this approach has no convergence problem.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1003.6115

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zbMATH Keywords

deceleration parametercosmographycosmic expansion ratesmarginal likelihoodsSN Ia data

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Applications of statistics to physics (62P35) Galactic and stellar dynamics (85A05) Einstein's equations (general structure, canonical formalism, Cauchy problems) (83C05) Relativistic cosmology (83F05) Astrophysical cosmology (85A40)

Cited In (4)

• Title not available (Why is that?)
• Could the cosmic acceleration be transient? A cosmographic evaluation
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• On marginals and profiled posteriors for cosmological parameter estimation

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