Modeling and Control of Malaria Dynamics in Fish Farming Regions

DOI10.1137/20M1376698zbMATH Open1520.92055arXiv2010.14366OpenAlexW4385701529MaRDI QIDQ6132795FDOQ6132795

Authors: M.-Soledad Aronna 

Publication date: 17 August 2023

Published in: SIAM Journal on Applied Dynamical Systems (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: In this work we propose a model that represents the relation between fish ponds, the mosquito population and the transmission of malaria. It has been observed that in the Amazonic region of Acre, in the North of Brazil, fish farming is correlated to the transmission of malaria when carried out in artificial ponds that become breeding sites. Evidence has been found indicating that cleaning the vegetation from the edges of the crop tanks helps to control the size of the mosquito population. We use our model to determine the effective contribution of fish farming practices on malaria transmission dynamics. The model consists of a nonlinear system of ordinary differential equations with jumps at the cleaning time, which act as impulsive controls. We study the asymptotic behaviour of the system in function of the intensity and periodicity of the cleaning, and the value of the parameters. In particular, we state sufficient conditions under which the mosquito population is eliminated or persists, and under which the malaria is eliminated or becomes endemic. We prove our conditions by applying results for cooperative systems with concave nonlinearities.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/2010.14366

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zbMATH Keywords

cooperative systemmonotone dynamical systemimpulsive ordinary differential equationsmalaria modelling

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30) Population dynamics (general) (92D25) Ordinary differential equations with impulses (34A37) Periodic solutions to ordinary differential equations (34C25)

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Cited In (3)

• Mathematical model for Malaria transmission and biological control
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• A model for the biocontrol of mosquitoes using predatory fish

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