Families of discrete circular distributions with some novel applications

DOI10.1007/S13171-022-00298-ZarXiv2009.05437OpenAlexW3084492275MaRDI QIDQ6133710FDOQ6133710

Authors: Kanti V. Mardia, Karthik Sriram 

Publication date: 21 August 2023

Published in: Sankhyā. Series A (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: Motivated by some cutting edge circular data such as from Smart Home technologies and roulette spins from online and casino, we construct some new rich classes of discrete distributions on the circle. We give four new general methods of construction, namely (i) maximum entropy, (ii) centered wrapping, (iii) marginalized and (iv) conditionalized methods. We motivate these methods on the line and then work on the circular case and provide some properties to gain insight into these constructions. We mainly focus on the last two methods (iii) and (iv) in the context of circular location families, as they are amenable to general methodology. We show that the marginalized and conditionalized discrete circular location families inherit important properties from their parent continuous families. In particular, for the von Mises and wrapped Cauchy as the parent distribution, we examine their properties including the maximum likelihood estimators, the hypothesis test for uniformity and give a test of serial independence. Using our discrete circular distributions, we demonstrate how to determine changepoint when the data arise in a sequence and how to fit mixtures of this distribution. Illustrative examples are given which triggered the work. For example, for roulette data, we test for uniformity (unbiasedness) , test for serial correlation, detect changepoint in streaming roulette-spins data, and fit mixtures. We analyse a smart home data using our mixtures. We examine the effect of ignoring discreteness of the underlying population, and discuss marginalized versus conditionalized approaches. We give various extensions of the families with skewness and kurtosis, to those supported on an irregular lattice, and discuss potential extension to general manifolds by showing a construction on the torus

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/2009.05437

zbMATH Keywords

von Mises distributionwrapped Cauchy distributionacrophase dataconditionalized familiesmarginalized familiesroulette spin data

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Parametric hypothesis testing (62F03) Hypothesis testing in multivariate analysis (62H15) Characterization and structure theory of statistical distributions (62E10) Statistics on manifolds (62R30)

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Cited In (3)

• THE WRAPPED t FAMILY OF CIRCULAR DISTRIBUTIONS
• Two nested families of skew-symmetric circular distributions
• Families of discrete circular distributions with some novel applications

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