Delay differential equations for the spatially resolved simulation of epidemics with specific application to COVID‐19
From MaRDI portal
(Redirected from Publication:6141512)
Abstract: In the wake of the 2020 COVID-19 epidemic, much work has been performed on the development of mathematical models for the simulation of the epidemic, and of disease models generally. Most works follow the susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) compartmental framework, modeling the epidemic with a system of ordinary differential equations. Alternative formulations using a partial differential equation (PDE) to incorporate both spatial and temporal resolution have also been introduced, with their numerical results showing potentially powerful descriptive and predictive capacity. In the present work, we introduce a new variation to such models by using delay differential equations (DDEs). The dynamics of many infectious diseases, including COVID-19, exhibit delays due to incubation periods and related phenomena. Accordingly, DDE models allow for a natural representation of the problem dynamics, in addition to offering advantages in terms of computational time and modeling, as they eliminate the need for additional, difficult-to-estimate, compartments (such as exposed individuals) to incorporate time delays. Here, we introduce a DDE epidemic model in both an ordinary- and partial differential equation framework. We present a series of mathematical results assessing the stability of the formulation. We then perform several numerical experiments, validating both the mathematical results and establishing model's ability to reproduce measured data on realistic problems.
Cites work
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 6111396 (Why is no real title available?)
- A delayed SIR model with general nonlinear incidence rate
- Adaptive mesh refinement and coarsening for diffusion-reaction epidemiological models
- Bayesian-based predictions of COVID-19 evolution in Texas using multispecies mixture-theoretic continuum models
- Diffusion-reaction compartmental models formulated in a continuum mechanics framework: application to COVID-19, mathematical analysis, and numerical study
- Global Asymptotic Stability of Traveling Waves in Delayed Reaction-Diffusion Equations
- Global analysis on delay epidemiological dynamic models with nonlinear incidence
- Global stability of a delayed SIRI epidemic model with nonlinear incidence
- Global stability of an SIR epidemic model with information dependent vaccination
- Hyperbolic models for the spread of epidemics on networks: kinetic description and numerical methods
- Is it safe to lift COVID-19 travel bans? The Newfoundland story
- Is the Allee effect relevant in cancer evolution and therapy?
- Mathematical biology. Vol. 2: Spatial models and biomedical applications.
- Numerical simulation of a SIS epidemic model based on a nonlinear Volterra integral equation
- On the dynamics of a delayed SIR epidemic model with a modified saturated incidence rate
- Simulating the spread of COVID-19 \textit{via} a spatially-resolved susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered-deceased (SEIRD) model with heterogeneous diffusion
- Traveling wave solutions for a diffusive SIS epidemic model
- Traveling wave solutions in a two-group SIR epidemic model with constant recruitment
- Traveling waves of a delayed epidemic model with spatial diffusion
- Traveling waves of diffusive predator-prey systems: disease outbreak propagation
Cited in
(14)- On the estimation of the time-dependent transmission rate in epidemiological models
- Dynamical analysis of a COVID-19 model with human-to-human and environment-to-human transmissions and distributed delays
- On the dynamics of a Riccati differential equation with perturbed delay
- Asymptotic-preserving neural networks for hyperbolic systems with diffusive scaling
- Learning delay dynamics for multivariate stochastic processes, with application to the prediction of the growth rate of COVID-19 cases in the United States
- A time delay dynamic system with external source for the local outbreak of 2019-nCoV
- A data-validated temporary immunity model of COVID-19 spread in Michigan
- On stability for non-instantaneous impulsive delay differential equations
- New trends on the systems approach to modeling SARS-CoV-2 pandemics in a globally connected planet
- Model-based reinforcement learning control of reaction-diffusion problems
- Exact solutions of time-delay integer- and fractional-order advection equations
- A delay differential equation model on COVID-19 with vaccination strategy
- Identification of time delays in COVID-19 data
- Acceleration of implicit schemes for large systems of delay differential equations
This page was built for publication: Delay differential equations for the spatially resolved simulation of epidemics with specific application to COVID‐19
Report a bug (only for logged in users!)Click here to report a bug for this page (MaRDI item Q6141512)
