Degrees of riskiness, falsifiability, and truthlikeness. A neo-Popperian account applicable to probabilistic theories

DOI10.1007/S11229-021-03310-5MaRDI QIDQ6147499zbMATH OpenFDO

Authors Leander Vignero, Sylvia Wenmackers

Publication date 1 February 2024

Published in Synthese (Search for Journal in Brave)

Copyright license Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/2107.03772

zbMATH Keywords

falsifiabilityKarl Popperprobabilityriskinessverisimilitude

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Axioms; other general questions in probability (60A05)

Abstract: In this paper, we take a fresh look at three Popperian concepts: riskiness, falsifiability, and truthlikeness (or verisimilitude) of scientific hypotheses or theories. First, we make explicit the dimensions that underlie the notion of riskiness. Secondly, we examine if and how degrees of falsifiability can be defined, and how they are related to various dimensions of the concept of riskiness as well as the experimental context. Thirdly, we consider the relation of riskiness to (expected degrees of) truthlikeness. Throughout, we pay special attention to probabilistic theories and we offer a tentative, quantitative account of verisimilitude for probabilistic theories.

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Cites work

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