Long-term prediction of the COVID-19 epidemics induced by Omicron-virus in China based on a novel non-autonomous delayed SIR model

DOI10.1088/1751-8121/ACD233zbMath1516.92115OpenAlexW4367836219MaRDI QIDQ6159061

Dongqing Liu, Li-Jun Pei

Publication date: 1 June 2023

Published in: Journal of Physics A: Mathematical and Theoretical (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1088/1751-8121/acd233

zbMATH Keywords

parameter estimationdelayed differential equationsSIRlong-term predictionOmicron-COVID-19

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30) Qualitative investigation and simulation of ordinary differential equation models (34C60) Qualitative investigation and simulation of models involving functional-differential equations (34K60)

Cites Work

• Dynamics of a novel nonlinear stochastic SIS epidemic model with double epidemic hypothesis
• A fractional order SEIR model with vertical transmission
• The threshold of a stochastic delayed SIR epidemic model with temporary immunity
• Generalized SEIR epidemic model for COVID-19 in a multipatch environment
• Optimal control and cost-effectiveness analysis of a new COVID-19 model for omicron strain
• Modeling and dynamic analysis of novel coronavirus pneumonia (COVID-19) in China
• Mathematical modeling of COVID-19 transmission dynamics with a case study of Wuhan
• A mathematical model for COVID-19 transmission by using the Caputo fractional derivative

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