Does the survey of professional forecasters help predict the shape of recessions in real time?

DOI10.1016/J.ECONLET.2023.111419MaRDI QIDQ6198250FDOQ6198250

Authors: Yunjong Eo, James Morley 

Publication date: 20 March 2024

Published in: Economics Letters (Search for Journal in Brave)

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zbMATH Keywords

COVID-19Markov switchingreal-time analysisL-shaped recessionU-shaped recession

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Economic time series analysis (91B84)

Cites Work

• A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle
• Trend/cycle decomposition of regime-switching processes
• Recession-specific recoveries: \(L\)'s, \(U\)'s and everything in between

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