Normal approximation of compound Hawkes functionals

DOI10.1007/S10959-022-01233-6MaRDI QIDQ6204793zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Mahmoud Khabou, Nicolas Privault, Anthony Réveillac

Publication date 2 April 2024

Published in Journal of Theoretical Probability (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/2209.03621

zbMATH Keywords

Malliavin calculusnormal approximationStein's methodHawkes processes

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Point processes (e.g., Poisson, Cox, Hawkes processes) (60G55) Stochastic calculus of variations and the Malliavin calculus (60H07) Central limit and other weak theorems (60F05) Random measures (60G57)

Abstract: We derive quantitative bounds in the Wasserstein distance for the approximation of stochastic integrals with respect to Hawkes processes by a normally distributed random variable. In the case of deterministic and non-negative integrands, our estimates involve only the third moment of integrand in addition to a variance term using a square norm of the integrand. As a consequence, we are able to observe a "third moment phenomenon" in which the vanishing of the first cumulant can lead to faster convergence rates. Our results are also applied to compound Hawkes processes, and improve on the current literature where estimates may not converge to zero in large time, or have been obtained only for specific kernels such as the exponential or Erlang kernels.

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