Adapting to a Changing Environment: Non-obvious Thresholds in Multi-Scale Systems

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Publication:6248317

DOI10.1098/RSPA.2014.0226arXiv1401.5268WikidataQ51027834 ScholiaQ51027834MaRDI QIDQ6248317FDOQ6248317

Sebastian Wieczorek, Clare Perryman

Publication date: 21 January 2014

Abstract: Many natural and technological systems fail to adapt to changing external conditions and move to a different state if the conditions vary too fast. Such "non-adiabatic" processes are ubiquitous, but little understood. We identify these processes with a new nonlinear phenomenon---an intricate threshold where a forced system fails to adiabatically follow a changing stable state. In systems with multiple time-scales such thresholds are generic, but non-obvious, meaning they cannot be captured by traditional stability theory. Rather, the phenomenon can be analysed using concepts from modern singular perturbation theory: folded singularities and canard trajectories, including composite canards. Thus, non-obvious thresholds should explain the failure to adapt to a changing environment in a wide range of multi-scale systems including: tipping points in the climate system, regime shifts in ecosystems, excitability in nerve cells, adaptation failure in regulatory genes, and adiabatic switching in technology.












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