An eddifying Stommel model: Fast eddy effects in a two-box ocean
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Publication:6286845
DOI10.1080/03091929.2018.1464566zbMATH Open1521.86004arXiv1705.06706WikidataQ61785886 ScholiaQ61785886MaRDI QIDQ6286845FDOQ6286845
Authors: William Barham, Ian Grooms 
Publication date: 18 May 2017
Abstract: A system of stochastic differential equations is formulated describing the heat and salt content of a two-box ocean. Variability in the heat and salt content and in the thermohaline circulation between the boxes is driven by fast Gaussian atmospheric forcing and by ocean-intrinsic, eddy-driven variability. The eddy forcing of the slow dynamics takes the form of a colored, non-Gaussian noise. The qualitative effects of this non-Gaussianity are investigated by comparing to two approximate models: one that includes only the mean eddy effects (the `averaged model'), and one that includes an additional Gaussian white-noise approximation of the eddy effects (the `Gaussian model'). Both of these approximate models are derived using the methods of fast averaging and homogenization. In the parameter regime where the dynamics has a single stable equilibrium the averaged model has too little variability. The Gaussian model has accurate second-order statistics, but incorrect skew and rare-event probabilities. In the parameter regime where the dynamics has two stable equilibria the eddy noise is much smaller than the atmospheric noise. The averaged, Gaussian, and non-Gaussian models all have similar stationary distributions, but the jump rates between equilibria are too small for the averaged and Gaussian models.
Stochastic partial differential equations (aspects of stochastic analysis) (60H15) Hydrology, hydrography, oceanography (86A05)
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