The spatial-temporal risk index and spreading dynamics for a time-periodic diffusive WNv model

arXiv1812.09700MaRDI QIDQ6311571FDOQ6311571

Publication date: 23 December 2018

Abstract: This paper is concerned with a simplified epidemic model for West Nile virus in a heterogeneous time-periodic environment. By means of the model, we will explore the impact of spatial heterogeneity of environment and temporal periodicity on the persistence and eradication of West Nile virus. The free boundary is employed to represent the moving front of the infected region. The basic reproduction number

R_{0}^{D}

and the spatial-temporal risk index

R_{0}^{F} (t)

, which depend on spatial heterogeneity, temporal periodicity and spatial diffusion, are defined by considering the associated linearized eigenvalue problem. Sufficient conditions for the spreading and vanishing of West Nile virus are presented for the spatial dynamics of the virus.

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30) Asymptotic behavior of solutions to PDEs (35B40) Initial-boundary value problems for second-order parabolic systems (35K51) Free boundary problems for PDEs (35R35)

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