Consistency of MLE for partially observed diffusions, with application in market microstructure modeling

arXiv2201.07656MaRDI QIDQ6388652FDOQ6388652

Publication date: 19 January 2022

Abstract: This paper presents a tractable sufficient condition for the consistency of maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) in partially observed diffusion models, stated in terms of stationary distribution of the associated fully observed diffusion, under the assumption that the set of unknown parameter values is finite. This sufficient condition is then verified in the context of a latent price model of market microstructure, yielding consistency of maximum likelihood estimators of the unknown parameters in this model. Finally, we compute the latter estimators using historical financial data taken from the NASDAQ exchange.

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