Hydrodynamics of N-urn susceptible-infected-removed epidemics

arXiv2204.13234MaRDI QIDQ6397665FDOQ6397665

Authors: Xiaofeng Xue 

Publication date: 27 April 2022

Abstract: In this paper we are concerned with $N$-urn susceptible-infected-removed epidemics, where each urn is in one of three states, namely `susceptible', `infected' and `removed'. We assume that recovery rates of infected urns and infection rates between infected and susceptible urns are all coordinate-dependent. We show that the hydrodynamic limit of our model is driven by a deterministic $(C[0,1]{)}^{p}rime$-valued process with density which is the solution to a nonlinear $C[0,1]$-valued ordinary differential equation consistent with a mean-field analysis. We further show that the fluctuation of our process is driven by a generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. A key step in proofs of above main results is to show that sates of different urns are approximately independent as $Nightarrow+infty$.

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