Mean-Field Nonparametric Estimation of Interacting Particle Systems

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Abstract: This paper concerns the nonparametric estimation problem of the distribution-state dependent drift vector field in an interacting N-particle system. Observing single-trajectory data for each particle, we derive the mean-field rate of convergence for the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), which depends on both Gaussian complexity and Rademacher complexity of the function class. In particular, when the function class contains alpha-smooth H{"o}lder functions, our rate of convergence is minimax optimal on the order of N−fracalphad+2alpha. Combining with a Fourier analytical deconvolution argument, we derive the consistency of MLE for the external force and interaction kernel in the McKean-Vlasov equation.














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