Parameter estimation of stochastic SIR model driven by small L\'{e}vy noises with time-dependent periodic transmission

MaRDI QIDQ6429554zbMATH OpenFDO

Authors Terry Easlick, Wei Sun

Publication date 14 March 2023

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Asymptotic properties of parametric estimators (62F12) Inference from stochastic processes and prediction (62M20) Epidemiology (92D30)

Abstract: We investigate the parameter estimation and forecasting of two forms of the stochastic SIR model driven by small L'{e}vy noises. We accomplish this by utilizing least squares estimators. We include simulation studies of both forms using the method of projected gradient descent to aid in the parameter estimation.

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