Estimation problem for continuous time stochastic processes with periodically correlated increments

arXiv2304.12220MaRDI QIDQ6434147FDOQ6434147

Publication date: 24 April 2023

Abstract: We deal with the problem of optimal estimation of the linear functionals constructed from unobserved values of a continuous time stochastic process with periodically correlated increments based on past observations of this process. To solve the problem, we construct a corresponding to the process sequence of stochastic functions which forms an infinite dimensional vector stationary increment sequence. In the case of known spectral density of the stationary increment sequence, we obtain formulas for calculating values of the mean square errors and the spectral characteristics of the optimal estimates of the functionals. Formulas determining the least favorable spectral densities and the minimax (robust) spectral characteristics of the optimal linear estimates of functionals are derived in the case where the sets of admissible spectral densities are given.

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Applications of statistics to economics (62P20) Inference from stochastic processes and prediction (62M20) Filtering in stochastic control theory (93E11) Prediction theory (aspects of stochastic processes) (60G25) Signal detection and filtering (aspects of stochastic processes) (60G35) Stationary stochastic processes (60G10) Estimation and detection in stochastic control theory (93E10)

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