Testing for jumps in processes with integral fractional part and jump-robust inference on the Hurst exponent
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Publication:6435101
arXiv2305.01751MaRDI QIDQ6435101FDOQ6435101
Authors: Markus Bibinger, Michael Sonntag 
Publication date: 2 May 2023
Abstract: We develop and investigate a test for jumps based on high-frequency observations of a fractional process with an additive jump component. The Hurst exponent of the fractional process is unknown. The asymptotic theory under infill asymptotics builds upon extreme value theory for weakly dependent, stationary time series and extends techniques for the semimartingale case from the literature. It is shown that the statistic on which the test is based on weakly converges to a Gumbel distribution under the null hypothesis of no jumps. We prove consistency under the alternative hypothesis when there are jumps. Moreover, we establish convergence rates for local alternatives and consistent estimation of jump times. We demonstrate sound finite-sample properties in a simulation study. In the process, we show that inference on the Hurst exponent of a rough fractional process is robust with respect to jumps. This provides an important insight for the growing literature on rough volatility.
Extreme value theory; extremal stochastic processes (60G70) Fractional processes, including fractional Brownian motion (60G22) Non-Markovian processes: hypothesis testing (62M07)
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