Minimax interpolation of continuous time stochastic processes with periodically correlated increments observed with noise

arXiv2307.02676MaRDI QIDQ6442772FDOQ6442772

Authors: Maksym Luz, M. P. Moklyachuk 

Publication date: 5 July 2023

Abstract: We deal with the problem of optimal estimation of the linear functionals constructed from the missed values of a continuous time stochastic process $xi(t)$ with periodically stationary increments at points $tin[0;(N+1)T]$ based on observations of this process with periodically stationary noise. To solve the problem, a sequence of stochastic functions $x{i}_j^{(d)}(u)=x{i}_j^{(d)}(u+jT,au),,,uin[0,T),jinmathbbZ.$ is constructed. It forms a $L_2([0,T);H)$-valued stationary increment sequence $x{i}_j^{(d)},jinmathbbZ$ or corresponding to it an (infinite dimensional) vector stationary increment sequence $vecx{i}_j^{(d)}=(x{i}_{kj}^{(d)},k=1,2,dots{)}^{op},jinmathbbZ$. In the case of a known spectral density, we obtain formulas for calculating values of the mean square errors and the spectral characteristics of the optimal estimates of the functionals. Formulas determining the least favorable spectral densities and the minimax (robust) spectral characteristics of the optimal linear estimates of functionals are derived in the case where the sets of admissible spectral densities are given.

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Applications of statistics to economics (62P20) Inference from stochastic processes and prediction (62M20) Filtering in stochastic control theory (93E11) Prediction theory (aspects of stochastic processes) (60G25) Signal detection and filtering (aspects of stochastic processes) (60G35) Stationary stochastic processes (60G10) Estimation and detection in stochastic control theory (93E10)

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