On Bayes inference for a bathtub failure rate via S-paths

DOI10.1007/S10463-009-0253-1MaRDI QIDQ652598zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Man-Wai Ho

Publication date 14 December 2011

Published in Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/0707.2257

zbMATH Keywords

Gibbs samplersequential importance samplingcompletely random measurerandom partitionRao-Blackwellizationaccelerated path sampler

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Bayesian inference (62F15) Nonparametric estimation (62G05) Reliability and life testing (62N05) Random measures (60G57)

Abstract: A class of semi-parametric hazard/failure rates with a bathtub shape is of interest. It does not only provide a great deal of flexibility over existing parametric methods in the modeling aspect but also results in a closed and tractable Bayes estimator for the bathtub-shaped failure rate (BFR). Such an estimator is derived to be a finite sum over two $mathbfS$-paths due to an explicit posterior analysis in terms of two (conditionally independent) $mathbfS$-paths. These, newly discovered, explicit results can be proved to be a Rao-Blackwellization of counterpart results in terms of partitions that are readily available by a specialization of James (2005)'s work. We develop both iterative and non-iterative computational procedures based on existing efficient Monte Carlo methods for sampling one single $mathbfS$-path. Nmerical simulations are given to demonstrate the practicality and the effectiveness of our methodology. Last but not least, two applications of the proposed method are discussed, of which one is about a Bayesian test for failure rates and the other is related to modeling with covariates.

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Cited in

(1)

• A Bayes method for a monotone hazard rate via \(S\)-paths

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