Application of chaos and neural network in power load forecasting

DOI10.1155/2011/597634MaRDI QIDQ659530zbMATH OpenOpenAlexWikidataFDO

Authors Li Li, Chongxin Liu

Publication date 23 January 2012

Published in Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society (Search for Journal in Brave)

Copyright license Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1155/2011/597634

zbMATH Keywords

artificial neural network (ANN)back propagation (BP) algorithmchaotic systemsgenetic algorithm (GA)Lyapunov exponentspower load forecasting

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Chaos control for problems involving ordinary differential equations (34H10) Neural networks for/in biological studies, artificial life and related topics (92B20) Control/observation systems governed by ordinary differential equations (93C15) Application models in control theory (93C95)

Review text

Summary: This paper employs chaos theory into power load forecasting. Lyapunov exponents on chaos theory are calculated to judge whether it is a chaotic system. Delay time and embedding dimension are calculated to reconstruct the phase space and determine the structure of Artificial Neural Network (ANN). Improved Back Propagation (BP) algorithm based on Genetic Algorithm (GA) is used to train and forecast. Finally, this paper uses the load data of Shaanxi province power grid of China to complete the short-term load forecasting. The results show that the model in this paper is more effective than classical standard BP neural network model.

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Cites work

• Determining Lyapunov exponents from a time series
• Practical method for determining the minimum embedding dimension of a scalar time series
• Synchronization of unified chaotic system based on passive control

Cited in

(13)

• Horseshoe chaos in a 3D neural network with different activation functions
• Smart grid short-term load estimation model based on BP neural network
• Fuzzy neural very-short-term load forecasting based on chaotic dynamics reconstruction
• Power load prediction based on fractal theory
• Ensemble Neural Network Approach for Accurate Load Forecasting in a Power System
• Short-term probabilistic load forecasting using chaotic time series
• A new short-term power load forecasting model based on chaotic time series and SVM
• Advances in Neural Networks – ISNN 2005
• Advances in Neural Networks – ISNN 2005
• Advances in Neural Networks – ISNN 2005
• Forecasting and prediction applications in the field of power engineering
• Dynamics analysis of a tri-neuron discrete-time BAM neural network with two delays
• Power forecasting of combined heating and cooling systems based on chaotic time series

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