The cost of using exact confidence intervals for a binomial proportion

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Publication:66062

DOI10.1214/14-EJS909zbMATH Open1348.62092arXiv1303.1288OpenAlexW3102711193WikidataQ29306466 ScholiaQ29306466MaRDI QIDQ66062FDOQ66062

Måns Thulin, Måns Thulin

Publication date: 1 January 2014

Published in: Electronic Journal of Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: When computing a confidence interval for a binomial proportion p one must choose between using an exact interval, which has a coverage probability of at least 1-{alpha} for all values of p, and a shorter approximate interval, which may have lower coverage for some p but that on average has coverage equal to 1-alpha. We investigate the cost of using the exact one and two-sided Clopper--Pearson confidence intervals rather than shorter approximate intervals, first in terms of increased expected length and then in terms of the increase in sample size required to obtain a desired expected length. Using asymptotic expansions, we also give a closed-form formula for determining the sample size for the exact Clopper--Pearson methods. For two-sided intervals, our investigation reveals an interesting connection between the frequentist Clopper--Pearson interval and Bayesian intervals based on noninformative priors.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1303.1288




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