Infection model for analyzing biological control of coffee rust using bacterial anti-fungal compounds

DOI10.1016/J.MBS.2018.10.009zbMATH Open1409.92222arXiv1712.08958OpenAlexW2779161847WikidataQ58586701 ScholiaQ58586701MaRDI QIDQ669137FDOQ669137

Authors: Jorge Arroyo-Esquivel, Fabio Sanchez, Luis A. Barboza 

Publication date: 20 March 2019

Published in: Mathematical Biosciences (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: Coffee rust is one of the main diseases that affect coffee plantations worldwide. This causes an important economic impact in the coffee production industry in countries where coffee is an important part of the economy. A common method for combating this disease is using copper hydroxide as a fungicide, which can have damaging effects both on the coffee tree and on human health. A novel method for biological control of coffee rust using bacteria has been proven to be an effective alternative to copper hydroxide fungicides as anti-fungal compounds. In this paper, we develop and explore a spatial stochastic model for this interaction in a coffee plantation. We analyze equilibria for specific control strategies, as well as compute the basic reproductive number, R0, of individual coffee trees, conditions for local and global stability under specific conditions, parameter estimation of key parameters, as well as sensitivity analysis, and numerical experiments under local and global control strategies for key scenarios.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1712.08958

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zbMATH Keywords

parameter estimationsensitivity analysisepidemiologybiological controlspatial modelcoffee rustinfection model

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30) Ecology (92D40) Plant biology (92C80)

Cites Work

• Adaptive approximate Bayesian computation
• Title not available (Why is that?)
• Mathematical modeling and control of population systems: applications in biological pest control
• Consequential classes of resources: subtle global bifurcation with dramatic ecological consequences in a simple population model
• Title not available (Why is that?)

Cited In (8)

• Estimation of the infestation rate in coffee berry borer, using a SIR model
• A one-dimensional map to study multi-seasonal coffee infestation by the coffee berry borer
• Modeling plant disease with biological control of insect pests
• The optimal controlling strategy on a dispersing population in a two-patch system: experimental and theoretical perspectives
• Modeling the Endophytic Fungus Epicoccum nigrum Action to Fight the “Olive Knot” Disease Caused by Pseudomonas savastanoi pv. savastanoi (Psv) Bacteria in Olea europaea L. Trees
• Impulsive modelling of rust dynamics and predator releases for biocontrol
• Modelling coffee leaf rust dynamics to control its spread
• Modelling induced resistance to plant diseases

Uses Software

• NetLogo
• libspatialSEIR
• R0

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