A MIDAS approach to modeling first and second moment dynamics
From MaRDI portal
Publication:726588
DOI10.1016/j.jeconom.2016.04.009zbMath1391.62293MaRDI QIDQ726588
Davide Pettenuzzo, Rossen Valkanov, Allan G. Timmermann
Publication date: 12 July 2016
Published in: Journal of Econometrics (Search for Journal in Brave)
Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2016.04.009
Bayesian estimation; out-of-sample forecasts; Gibbs sampling methods; industrial production; inflation forecasts; mixed-data-sampling (MIDAS) models; stochastic votality
62P20: Applications of statistics to economics
91B82: Statistical methods; economic indices and measures
Related Items
Macroeconomics and the reality of mixed frequency data, Uncertainty through the lenses of a mixed-frequency Bayesian panel Markov-switching model, Bayesian MIDAS penalized regressions: estimation, selection, and prediction, Incorporating overnight and intraday returns into multivariate GARCH volatility models, Fat tails in leading indicators
Uses Software
Cites Work
- Unnamed Item
- MIDAS Regressions: Further Results and New Directions
- Macroeconomics and the reality of mixed frequency data
- Optimal prediction pools
- Bayesian fan charts for U.K. Inflation: Forecasting and sources of uncertainty in an evolving monetary system
- Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for stochastic volatility models.
- Real-Time Density Forecasts From Bayesian Vector Autoregressions With Stochastic Volatility
- Comparing Density Forecasts Using Threshold- and Quantile-Weighted Scoring Rules
- An Improved Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator
- Stochastic Volatility: Likelihood Inference and Comparison with ARCH Models
- Identifying Long-Run Risks: A Bayesian Mixed-Frequency Approach
- Bayes Factors
- Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation