Modeling of the HIV infection epidemic in the Netherlands: a multi-parameter evidence synthesis approach
From MaRDI portal
(Redirected from Publication:765976)
Abstract: Multi-parameter evidence synthesis (MPES) is receiving growing attention from the epidemiological community as a coherent and flexible analytical framework to accommodate a disparate body of evidence available to inform disease incidence and prevalence estimation. MPES is the statistical methodology adopted by the Health Protection Agency in the UK for its annual national assessment of the HIV epidemic, and is acknowledged by the World Health Organization and UNAIDS as a valuable technique for the estimation of adult HIV prevalence from surveillance data. This paper describes the results of utilizing a Bayesian MPES approach to model HIV prevalence in the Netherlands at the end of 2007, using an array of field data from different study designs on various population risk subgroups and with a varying degree of regional coverage. Auxiliary data and expert opinion were additionally incorporated to resolve issues arising from biased, insufficient or inconsistent evidence. This case study offers a demonstration of the ability of MPES to naturally integrate and critically reconcile disparate and heterogeneous sources of evidence, while producing reliable estimates of HIV prevalence used to support public health decision-making.
Recommendations
- On the parameters estimation of HIV dynamic models
- Modelling the HIV epidemic: A state-space approach
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 2215809
- Model selection and mixed-effects modeling of HIV infection dynamics
- Modelling the natural history of HIV infection in individuals and its epidemiological implications
- Modelling treatment effects in the HIV/AIDS epidemic
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 1262317
Cites work
- A Method for Obtaining Short-Term Projections and Lower Bounds on the Size of the AIDS Epidemic
- A Model of Toxoplasmosis Incidence in the UK: Evidence Synthesis and Consistency of Evidence
- Adjusted likelihoods for synthesizing empirical evidence from studies that differ in quality and design: effects of environmental tobacco smoke
- Bayesian Measures of Model Complexity and Fit
- Bayesian evidence synthesis for a transmission dynamic model for HIV among men who have sex with men
- Decision Theory
- Estimating and Projecting Trends in HIV/AIDS Generalized Epidemics Using Incremental Mixture Importance Sampling
- Inference for Deterministic Simulation Models: The Bayesian Melding Approach
- Inference from iterative simulation using multiple sequences
- Model Evaluation and Spatial Interpolation by Bayesian Combination of Observations with Outputs from Numerical Models
- Modeling of the HIV infection epidemic in the Netherlands: a multi-parameter evidence synthesis approach
- Probabilistic projections of HIV prevalence using Bayesian melding
- SEQUENTIAL METHODS IN CLINICAL TRIALS*
- The Bayesian Choice
Cited in
(5)- Estimation of HIV burden through Bayesian evidence synthesis
- Modeling of the HIV infection epidemic in the Netherlands: a multi-parameter evidence synthesis approach
- Bayesian evidence synthesis for a transmission dynamic model for HIV among men who have sex with men
- Evidence synthesis for stochastic epidemic models
- A Model of Toxoplasmosis Incidence in the UK: Evidence Synthesis and Consistency of Evidence
This page was built for publication: Modeling of the HIV infection epidemic in the Netherlands: a multi-parameter evidence synthesis approach
Report a bug (only for logged in users!)Click here to report a bug for this page (MaRDI item Q765976)
