Sequential online subsampling for thinning experimental designs

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Publication:830692

DOI10.1016/J.JSPI.2020.08.001zbMATH Open1460.62128arXiv2004.00792OpenAlexW3047634786MaRDI QIDQ830692FDOQ830692

Luc Pronzato, Haiying Wang

Publication date: 7 May 2021

Published in: Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: We consider a design problem where experimental conditions (design points Xi) are presented in the form of a sequence of i.i.d. random variables, generated with an unknown probability measure mu, and only a given proportion alphain(0,1) can be selected. The objective is to select good candidates Xi on the fly and maximize a concave function Phi of the corresponding information matrix. The optimal solution corresponds to the construction of an optimal bounded design measure xialpha*leqmu/alpha, with the difficulty that mu is unknown and xialpha* must be constructed online. The construction proposed relies on the definition of a threshold au on the directional derivative of Phi at the current information matrix, the value of au being fixed by a certain quantile of the distribution of this directional derivative. Combination with recursive quantile estimation yields a nonlinear two-time-scale stochastic approximation method. It can be applied to very long design sequences since only the current information matrix and estimated quantile need to be stored. Convergence to an optimum design is proved. Various illustrative examples are presented.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/2004.00792




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