Hidden Markov models with mixtures as emission distributions

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Publication:892798

DOI10.1007/S11222-013-9383-7zbMATH Open1325.62157arXiv1206.5102OpenAlexW1972250859MaRDI QIDQ892798FDOQ892798


Authors: Stevenn Volant, Caroline Bérard, Marie-Laure Martin-Magniette, Stéphane Robin Edit this on Wikidata


Publication date: 12 November 2015

Published in: Statistics and Computing (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: In unsupervised classification, Hidden Markov Models (HMM) are used to account for a neighborhood structure between observations. The emission distributions are often supposed to belong to some parametric family. In this paper, a semiparametric modeling where the emission distributions are a mixture of parametric distributions is proposed to get a higher flexibility. We show that the classical EM algorithm can be adapted to infer the model parameters. For the initialisation step, starting from a large number of components, a hierarchical method to combine them into the hidden states is proposed. Three likelihood-based criteria to select the components to be combined are discussed. To estimate the number of hidden states, BIC-like criteria are derived. A simulation study is carried out both to determine the best combination between the merging criteria and the model selection criteria and to evaluate the accuracy of classification. The proposed method is also illustrated using a biological dataset from the model plant Arabidopsis thaliana. A R package HMMmix is freely available on the CRAN.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1206.5102




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