On the stationary tail index of iterated random Lipschitz functions

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Abstract: Let Psi1,Psi2,... be a sequence of i.i.d. random Lipschitz functions on a complete separable metric space with unbounded metric d and forward iterations Xn. Suppose that Xn has a stationary distribution. We study the stationary tail behavior of the functional Dn=d(x0,Xn), x0 an arbitrary reference point, by providing bounds for these random variables in terms of simple contractive iterated function systems on the nonnegative halfline. Our results provide bounds for the lower and upper tail index of Dn and will be illustrated by a number of popular examples including the AR(1) model with ARCH errors and random logistic transforms.



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