Estimation of the parameters of an infectious disease model using neural networks

DOI10.1016/J.NONRWA.2009.04.006zbMATH Open1196.34061arXiv1503.01847OpenAlexW2060475553WikidataQ57665465 ScholiaQ57665465MaRDI QIDQ974597FDOQ974597

V. Sree Hari Rao, M. Naresh Kumar

Publication date: 3 June 2010

Published in: Nonlinear Analysis. Real World Applications (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: In this paper, we propose a realistic mathematical model taking into account the mutual interference among the interacting populations. This model attempts to describe the control (vaccination) function as a function of the number of infective individuals, which is an improvement over the existing susceptible infective epidemic models. Regarding the growth of the epidemic as a nonlinear phenomenon we have developed a neural network architecture to estimate the vital parameters associated with this model. This architecture is based on a recently developed new class of neural networks known as co-operative and supportive neural networks. The application of this architecture to the present study involves preprocessing of the input data, and this renders an efficient estimation of the rate of spread of the epidemic. It is observed that the proposed new neural network outperforms a simple feed-forward neural network and polynomial regression.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1503.01847

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zbMATH Keywords

dynamical systemsepidemics\(K\)-means clusteringmutual interferencepolynomial regressioncooperative and supportive neural networks

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Qualitative investigation and simulation of ordinary differential equation models (34C60) Neural networks for/in biological studies, artificial life and related topics (92B20) Inverse problems involving ordinary differential equations (34A55)

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Cited In (4)

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• Title not available (Why is that?)
• Dynamics of large cooperative pulsed-coupled networks
• A dynamic model for infectious diseases: the role of vaccination and treatment

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