The Cohen-Lenstra heuristic: methodology and results

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Abstract: In number theory, great efforts have been undertaken to study the Cohen-Lenstra probability measure on the set of all finite abelian p-groups. On the other hand, group theorists have studied a probability measure on the set of all partitions induced by the probability that a randomly chosen nimesn-matrix over FFp is contained in a conjucagy class associated with this partitions, for noinfty. This paper shows that both probability measures are identical. As a consequence, a multitide of results can be transferred from each theory to the other one. The paper contains a survey about the known methods to study the probability measure and about the results that have been obtained so far, from both communities.


\textit{H. Cohen} and \textit{H. W. Lenstra} jun. conjectured that the sequence of class groups of quadratic number fields behaves like a random sequence with respect to a certain probability distribution on the space of all finite abelian groups [Number theory, Proc. Journ. arith., Noodwijkerhout/Neth. 1983, Lect. Notes Math. 1068, 33--62 (1984; Zbl 0558.12002)]. This probability distribution is based on the heuristic that probability for a group to occur should be inverse proportional to the number of its automorphisms. On the other hand, group theorists have studied a probability measure on the set of all partitions induced by the probability that a randomly chosen \(n\times n\)-matrix over \({\mathbb F}_p\) is contained in a conjugacy class associated with these partitions, for \(n\to\infty\). The two probability measures are connected to each other. The author gives an overview of the state of art.




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