Mechanical vs. informational components of price impact

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Publication:978856

DOI10.1140/EPJB/E2006-00384-5zbMATH Open1189.91059arXivphysics/0608271OpenAlexW3103791013MaRDI QIDQ978856FDOQ978856


Authors: J. Martínez Edit this on Wikidata


Publication date: 25 June 2010

Published in: The European Physical Journal B. Condensed Matter and Complex Systems (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: We study the problem of what causes prices to change. We define the mechanical impact of a trading order as the change in future prices in the absence of any future changes in decision making, and its it informational impact as the remainder of the total impact once mechanical impact is removed. We introduce a method of measuring mechanical impact and apply it to order book data from the London Stock Exchange. The average mechanical impact of a market order decays to zero as a function of time, at an asymptotic rate that is consistent with a power law with an exponent of roughly 1.7. In contrast the average informational impact builds to approach a constant value. Initially the impact is entirely mechanical, and is about half as big as the asymptotic informational impact. The size of the informational impact is positively correlated to mechanical impact. For cases where the mechanical impact is zero for all times, we find that the informational impact is negative, i.e. buy market orders that have no mechanical impact at all generate strong negative price responses.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0608271




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